Polymarket Pins 14.5% on Strait of Hormuz: The Risk Trade Nobody's Watching
Polymarket just priced the unthinkable: a 14.5% chance the Strait of Hormuz...
DeFi
•
Alextoshi
•
2026-07-26
Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$64,500.2 | +0.09% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$1,896.9 | +1.22% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$73.43 | -1.01% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$592.4 | -1.53% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.04 | -2.83% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0696 | -0.88% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.1901 | -1.40% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$6.62 | -1.00% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.8413 | -2.00% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$8.1 | -0.81% |
Fear & Greed
25
Extreme Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202610
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Altseason Index
43
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Tag Cloud
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$64,500.2
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,896.9
1
Solana
SOL
$73.43
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$592.4
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.04
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0696
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1901
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.62
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8413
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.1
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔵
0x6614...51af
1h ago
Stake
484,456 USDT
🔵
0xdd39...e760
1d ago
Stake
2,958.13 BTC
🔴
0xde06...2f0f
3h ago
Out
1,025,605 USDC
💡 Smart Money
0x3c0c...a80e
Top DeFi Miner
+$0.8M
84%
0x96fd...4d93
Arbitrage Bot
+$4.4M
80%
0x93f1...ffe3
Institutional Custody
+$3.7M
86%
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