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Fear & Greed

25

Extreme Fear

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Event Calendar

{{年份}}
15
04
halving Bitcoin Halving

Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC

30
04
upgrade Celestia Mainnet Upgrade

Improves data availability sampling efficiency

08
04
upgrade Solana Firedancer

Independent validator client goes live on mainnet

28
03
unlock Arbitrum Token Unlock

92 million ARB released

10
05
upgrade Ethereum Pectra Upgrade

Raises validator limit and account abstraction

18
03
unlock Sui Token Unlock

Team and early investor shares released

12
05
halving BCH Halving

Block reward halving event

22
03
unlock Optimism Unlock

Circulating supply increases by about 2%

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44

Bitcoin Season

BTC Dominance Altseason

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Ethereum 28 Gwei
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Bitcoin
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1
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1
Cardano
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1
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Industry

Bitcoin's Inquisition: The BIP-110 War and the Crisis of Trust That Will Define Its Next Decade

CryptoVault

Consider the moment when a single developer's commit becomes a declaration of war. That is exactly what Bitcoin faces today. Luke Dashjr, a long-time core contributor, has proposed BIP-110—a soft fork that would ban non-monetary data like JPEGs and text from Bitcoin blocks. But this isn't a technical debate about block space. It's a confrontation about who has the right to define what Bitcoin is. And the community is now split between those who see Ordinals as a heretical blight and those who see them as a sign of life. I've been here before—in 2017, during the SegWit saga, when the blockchain was a battlefield of ideology. Back then, we had broad consensus. Today, we have a 55% activation threshold (far below the traditional 95%) and a group of disgruntled elites threatening to pull the trigger. Trust is the only currency that matters, and right now, Bitcoin is spending it faster than it can mine.

To understand the stakes, we need to step back. BIP-110 is technically trivial: it would make blocks invalid if they contain data beyond a simple taproot script. In practice, it's a guillotine hanging over Ordinals—every inscription, every BRC-20 token, every NFT would be rejected by the network within a year if the proposal activates. The proposal's author, Luke Dashjr, runs Bitcoin Knots, a client that already enforces this rule, and he controls about 20% of reachable nodes. But this isn't about code. It's about a cultural war that pits 'Bitcoin maximalists' against 'innovators.' David Bailey, CEO of BTC Inc, recently dragged up an old scandal from 2014 where Dashjr tried to push a blacklist into a software package—without community consenus. That event, once forgotten, has now become the battering ram for an attack on Dashjr's legitimacy. Culture eats blockchain for breakfast, and this breakfast is turning into a brawl.

The core of this crisis is not BIP-110 itself—it's the governance hole at Bitcoin's heart. Let me be direct: code binds, but people break or build. BIP-110's activation mechanism—55% miner support—is an anomaly. Normal soft forks require 95% to avoid splitting the chain. Why the low bar? Because Dashjr knows he doesn't have broad support. Miners currently oppose it (less than 1% signal), and for good reason—Ordinals have boosted fees significantly. But Dashjr's camp is preparing a User-Activated Soft Fork (UASF) in early August, where nodes enforce the new rules and force miners to comply or orphan. This is the same strategy that worked for SegWit in 2017, but the difference is staggering: SegWit had months of community building, multiple BIPs, and a clear technical benefit. BIP-110 has none of that. It's a power grab disguised as a protocol upgrade. In my years auditing whitepapers and founding communities, I've seen many projects die from ego-driven forks. The pattern is always the same: someone with technical privilege believes they know best, they bypass consensus, and the network fractures. We are building the future, together—but only if we respect the shared governance that makes Bitcoin decentralized.

Now, the contrarian take: the market is dangerously complacent. Most analysts assume BIP-110 will fail because miners oppose it. But they forget two things. First, Dashjr's Knots nodes can impose a UASF even without miner support—and if just a few large mining pools flip, the situation can cascade. Second, the real damage may not be a chain split but a permanent erosion of trust. Look at the CME futures market: if two distinct Bitcoins emerge (one with Ordinals, one without), how will they settle cash-settled contracts? The legal ambiguity is a time bomb for institutions. Bailey himself said, 'Wall Street has no idea they're stuck in a madhouse with us.' He's right. The price doesn't yet reflect the risk of confused governance. Even if BIP-110 dies in August, the reputational wound will fester. Bitcoin's narrative of 'immutable consensus' has been shattered. Once you see the wizards behind the curtain, you can't unsee them. The contrarian insight is that the market is pricing in a failed proposal but not the cost of governance chaos.

Where do we go from here? The August deadline is a pressure cooker. If Dashjr backs down, Bitcoin survives but with a scar. If he pushes the UASF, we may see a hard fork—not of the chain, but of the community. The miners, exchanges, and users will decide which chain carries the brand 'Bitcoin.' And that decision will be based on liquidity, not ideology. I've seen this play out in 2017 with Bitcoin Cash: the fork created two coins, and the larger hash rate won. But the real loser was trust. Every time we fracture, we prove that 'decentralization' is a fragile social construct, not a technological guarantee. Trust is the only currency that matters, and we're mining it with broken picks. My hope is that cooler heads prevail—not because BIP-110 is good or bad, but because the cost of a divorce outweighs any benefit. We need to remember that we are not just building a network; we are building a shared future. And that future cannot be written by one developer, no matter how brilliant. It must be written by all of us—together.